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瑞银将今年中国经济增长预估下调到3.4%

瑞银集团称,由于美国加征关税抑制出口,中国今年经济增长预计仅为3.4%。

据彭博社报道,包括汪涛在内的瑞银经济学家星期二(4月15日)在一份报告中写道,关税冲击对中国的出口构成前所未有的挑战,中国的国内经济也将进行重大调整。

瑞银是主要银行中对中国经济前景最为悲观的,该行此前预计中国2025年经济增长为4%。

根据瑞银的预测,假设目前加征的关税保持不变,即便北京出台新的刺激措施,中国GDP增长率恐怕也要下降超过两个百分点。

报告指,未来几个季度中国对美出口预计将下降三分之二,今年以美元计算的海外出口总值可能下降10%。

不过,瑞银经济学家也承认他们的观点存在较高的误差幅度,因为加征关税的最终水平有极大的不确定性。

#中国经济



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瑞银将今年中国经济增长预估下调到3.4%

瑞银集团称,由于美国加征关税抑制出口,中国今年经济增长预计仅为3.4%。

据彭博社报道,包括汪涛在内的瑞银经济学家星期二(4月15日)在一份报告中写道,关税冲击对中国的出口构成前所未有的挑战,中国的国内经济也将进行重大调整。

瑞银是主要银行中对中国经济前景最为悲观的,该行此前预计中国2025年经济增长为4%。

根据瑞银的预测,假设目前加征的关税保持不变,即便北京出台新的刺激措施,中国GDP增长率恐怕也要下降超过两个百分点。

报告指,未来几个季度中国对美出口预计将下降三分之二,今年以美元计算的海外出口总值可能下降10%。

不过,瑞银经济学家也承认他们的观点存在较高的误差幅度,因为加征关税的最终水平有极大的不确定性。

#中国经济

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