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中国玉米进口放缓 料难以实现调低后采购目标

中国玉米进口速度放缓,表明即便北京下调年度采购预测目标,也可能难以实现。

彭博社引述星期二(3月19日)公布的海关数据,今年1月至2月,中国仅进口了18万吨玉米,使得自去年10月起的2024/25年度进口总量达到107万吨。上一次玉米进口如此低迷是在2017/18年度,当时前五个月的进口量仅为103万吨,全年进口达350万吨。

中国农业农村部对本年度玉米进口量预测从此前1300万吨大幅下调至900万吨,这不到上一年度的一半。

彭博社指出,农业产品消费疲软是经济低迷的又一受害者。去年,中国政府要求贸易商限制进口包括玉米在内的海外粮食,以支撑国内价格并保护农民利润。此外,影响进口的因素还包括本月中国对美国玉米加征的15%关税,这是北京针对华盛顿对中国出口商品全面加征关税的报复措施之一。

需求疲软的畜牧业进一步拖累了市场,中国玉米期货价格今年1月跌至三年多来的最低点,迫使国家收储机构出手干预,以支撑市场。

#玉米



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中国玉米进口放缓 料难以实现调低后采购目标

中国玉米进口速度放缓,表明即便北京下调年度采购预测目标,也可能难以实现。

彭博社引述星期二(3月19日)公布的海关数据,今年1月至2月,中国仅进口了18万吨玉米,使得自去年10月起的2024/25年度进口总量达到107万吨。上一次玉米进口如此低迷是在2017/18年度,当时前五个月的进口量仅为103万吨,全年进口达350万吨。

中国农业农村部对本年度玉米进口量预测从此前1300万吨大幅下调至900万吨,这不到上一年度的一半。

彭博社指出,农业产品消费疲软是经济低迷的又一受害者。去年,中国政府要求贸易商限制进口包括玉米在内的海外粮食,以支撑国内价格并保护农民利润。此外,影响进口的因素还包括本月中国对美国玉米加征的15%关税,这是北京针对华盛顿对中国出口商品全面加征关税的报复措施之一。

需求疲软的畜牧业进一步拖累了市场,中国玉米期货价格今年1月跌至三年多来的最低点,迫使国家收储机构出手干预,以支撑市场。

#玉米

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Importantly, that investor viewpoint is not new. It cycles in when conditions are right (and vice versa). It also brings the ineffective warnings of an overpriced market with it.Looking toward a good 2022 stock market, there is no apparent reason to expect these issues to change.

Should You Buy Bitcoin?

In general, many financial experts support their clients’ desire to buy cryptocurrency, but they don’t recommend it unless clients express interest. “The biggest concern for us is if someone wants to invest in crypto and the investment they choose doesn’t do well, and then all of a sudden they can’t send their kids to college,” says Ian Harvey, a certified financial planner (CFP) in New York City. “Then it wasn’t worth the risk.” The speculative nature of cryptocurrency leads some planners to recommend it for clients’ “side” investments. “Some call it a Vegas account,” says Scott Hammel, a CFP in Dallas. “Let’s keep this away from our real long-term perspective, make sure it doesn’t become too large a portion of your portfolio.” In a very real sense, Bitcoin is like a single stock, and advisors wouldn’t recommend putting a sizable part of your portfolio into any one company. At most, planners suggest putting no more than 1% to 10% into Bitcoin if you’re passionate about it. “If it was one stock, you would never allocate any significant portion of your portfolio to it,” Hammel says.

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