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⚠️ New Zealand — Gross Domestic Product at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.5% | -1.3%

🕒 Exp: 0.7% | -0.8%

🎯 Fact.: 0.8% 📈 | -0.7% 📈
⚠️ Australia — Employment Change at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 87.6K

🕒 Exp: 20.6K

🎯 Fact.: -2.5K 📉

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⚠️ Australia — Unemployment Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.1%

🕒 Exp: 4.1%

🎯 Fact.: 4.1%
⚠️ Switzerland — SNB Policy Rate at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.25%

🕒 Exp: 0.00%

🎯 Fact.: 0.00%

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⚠️ Switzerland — SNB Press Conference at 08:00 GMT
⚠️ UK — Bank of England Interest Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.25%

🕒 Exp: 4.25%

🎯 Fact.: 4.25%

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⚠️ UK — MPC Official Bank Rate Votes at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0-7-2

🕒 Exp: 0-2-7

🎯 Fact.: 0-3-6 📉

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/06/20 (GMT)

01:00 🇨🇳 Loan Prime Rate — Exp: 3.00% | 3.50% Actual: 3.00% | 3.50%

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales With Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.5% | 1.7% Actual: -2.7% | -1.3%

06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.5% | 1.8% Actual: -2.8% | -1.3%

06:40 🇯🇵 ⚡️ BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda Speaks

12:30 🇨🇦 Retail Sales — Exp: 0.4% | -0.2% Actual: 0.3% | -0.3%

12:30 🇺🇸 Philly Fed Manufacturing Index — Exp: -1.7 Actual: -4.0


[Updated in real time]
FxPro pinned «🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/06/20 (GMT) 01:00 🇨🇳 Loan Prime Rate — Exp: 3.00% | 3.50% Actual: 3.00% | 3.50% 06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales With Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.5% | 1.7% Actual: -2.7% | -1.3% 06:00 🇬🇧 Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel — Exp: -0.5% | 1.8% …»
⚠️ Japan — National Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 3.6%

🕒 Exp: 3.5%

🎯 Fact.: 3.5%
⚠️ Japan — BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda Speaks at 06:40 GMT
US dollar fights to regain its safe-haven status

The US dollar has managed to recover, backed by the Middle East conflict. Until now, all the troubles for the global economy originated in America, from trade tariffs to the US fiscal problems that undermined confidence in the greenback and deprived it of its status as the main safe-haven currency.

However, as soon as the epicentre of turmoil shifted, everything changed. The Middle East conflict is about to make the US dollar great again. The stability of foreign investors' holdings of Treasury bonds indicates continued interest in the American currency. While China was getting rid of Treasuries in April, Japan and Britain were buying them.

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Stock indices: stagflation is scarier than a war

At its June meeting, the Fed painted a stagflationary scenario. The central bank lowered its forecast for US GDP in 2025 from 1.7% to 1.4% and raised its inflation estimate from 2.7% to 3%. This scared the S&P 500 more than the war in the Middle East and the potential increase in tariffs after the end of the 90-day grace period. The broad stock index retreated but continues to trade close to record highs.

Donald Trump is trying to support the US stock market. He is calling on the Fed to cut the federal funds rate by 1–2.5 percentage points. The US president claims to have already collected $88 billion from tariffs while inflation remains low. However, his criticism of Jerome Powell is more likely to scare investors than inspire them to buy.

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🇺🇸 US pre-market

📈 After the weekend in the US, the stock market premarket is showing mixed dynamics.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) shares are down -0.05%, while Apple (AAPL) shares are up +0.26%.

In the finance sector, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are down -0.20%, while JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares are up +0.33%.

In the Consumer Goods sector, Tesla (TSLA) shares are up significantly by +1.78%, while General Motors (GM) shares are up +0.50%.

Mixed signals from key sectors are creating uncertainty for the dollar and preventing the formation of a stable vector for currency expectations in the short term.
2025/07/04 01:03:33
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