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全球气温到 2029 年可能首次升温超 2℃

2025-05-30 14:31 by 歌剧院魅影

2024 年是第一个突破 1.5℃ 全球变暖阈值的单一年份。现在顶尖气候学家首次发出警告,到 2029 年全球升温可能首次超过 2℃。英国国家气象局的科学家每年都会利用世界各地研究机构的气候观测数据和模型,预测未来5年的全球气候。最新预测结果表明,到 2029 年,单一年份的平均温度可能比工业化前水平高出 2℃。根据为世界气象组织(WMO)编制的《全球年际至年代际气候更新》,未来 5 年中至少有一年突破相同阈值(1.5℃ )的可能性为 86%。与此同时研究人员预测,2025-2029 年间,平均升温超过 1.5℃ 的可能性为 70%。单一年份全球升温超过 2℃ 的可能性仍然非常小,WMO/英国国家气象局的团队估计其概率为 1%。

中国科学报:到2029年全球升温可能首超2℃
www.newscientist.com/article/2481945-the-world-could-experience-a-year-above-2c-of-warming-by-2029/

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全球气温到 2029 年可能首次升温超 2℃

2025-05-30 14:31 by 歌剧院魅影

2024 年是第一个突破 1.5℃ 全球变暖阈值的单一年份。现在顶尖气候学家首次发出警告,到 2029 年全球升温可能首次超过 2℃。英国国家气象局的科学家每年都会利用世界各地研究机构的气候观测数据和模型,预测未来5年的全球气候。最新预测结果表明,到 2029 年,单一年份的平均温度可能比工业化前水平高出 2℃。根据为世界气象组织(WMO)编制的《全球年际至年代际气候更新》,未来 5 年中至少有一年突破相同阈值(1.5℃ )的可能性为 86%。与此同时研究人员预测,2025-2029 年间,平均升温超过 1.5℃ 的可能性为 70%。单一年份全球升温超过 2℃ 的可能性仍然非常小,WMO/英国国家气象局的团队估计其概率为 1%。

中国科学报:到2029年全球升温可能首超2℃
www.newscientist.com/article/2481945-the-world-could-experience-a-year-above-2c-of-warming-by-2029/

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