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Politico评论:万斯说美国的袭击“极大削弱了”伊朗的核计划,他错了 https://caus.com/all-articles/news/418774/

就美国情报机构的最乐观估计来看,大约需要一年。由于生产高浓缩铀和设计核武可以基本同步进行,武器化过程对伊朗获得核武的进度影响不会太大。

这个“一旦做出决定后仍能在一年内制造出核武”的估算,终究只是估算。存在大量不确定性。但这是中值估计,既不是最乐观也不是最悲观的情形。

最坏的情形是,伊朗早已拥有秘密运作的浓缩设施、几乎成熟的核武设计,能在几个月内造出核弹。

最好的情形(但几乎不太可能)是,进一步的军事行动摧毁了伊朗高浓缩铀和离心机组件的库存。即便如此也算不上什么胜利,因为伊朗仍然掌握着知识和技术,几年内可能重建整个核计划。

这根本没有理由庆祝。



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Politico评论:万斯说美国的袭击“极大削弱了”伊朗的核计划,他错了 https://caus.com/all-articles/news/418774/

就美国情报机构的最乐观估计来看,大约需要一年。由于生产高浓缩铀和设计核武可以基本同步进行,武器化过程对伊朗获得核武的进度影响不会太大。

这个“一旦做出决定后仍能在一年内制造出核武”的估算,终究只是估算。存在大量不确定性。但这是中值估计,既不是最乐观也不是最悲观的情形。

最坏的情形是,伊朗早已拥有秘密运作的浓缩设施、几乎成熟的核武设计,能在几个月内造出核弹。

最好的情形(但几乎不太可能)是,进一步的军事行动摧毁了伊朗高浓缩铀和离心机组件的库存。即便如此也算不上什么胜利,因为伊朗仍然掌握着知识和技术,几年内可能重建整个核计划。

这根本没有理由庆祝。

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Newly uncovered hack campaign in Telegram

The campaign, which security firm Check Point has named Rampant Kitten, comprises two main components, one for Windows and the other for Android. Rampant Kitten’s objective is to steal Telegram messages, passwords, and two-factor authentication codes sent by SMS and then also take screenshots and record sounds within earshot of an infected phone, the researchers said in a post published on Friday.

Why Telegram?

Telegram has no known backdoors and, even though it is come in for criticism for using proprietary encryption methods instead of open-source ones, those have yet to be compromised. While no messaging app can guarantee a 100% impermeable defense against determined attackers, Telegram is vulnerabilities are few and either theoretical or based on spoof files fooling users into actively enabling an attack.

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