《经济学人》防务编辑沙尚克·乔希在X上分析说：
以色列国防军表示，过去几个月中，情报不断显示，伊朗政权正逼近‘无法回头的临界点。
然而，今年3月，美国情报机构评估认为，伊朗“并未在制造核武器”。
“无法回头的临界点”这一说法，呼应了以色列前总理巴拉克在2012年常用的措辞，即伊朗核计划将进入所谓“免疫区”。这是一个模糊的概念，其具体含义并不明确。
确实，伊朗的核计划——特别是其浓缩能力和“突破时间”——增长显著（这一点已有多篇分析文章指出），但这并不意味着伊朗正在朝内塔尼亚胡所谓的“武器化”迈出决定性步骤。
以奥卡姆剃刀原理来看，此次袭击发生，并非出于伊朗核活动有新的情报发现，而是因为以色列认为机会成熟：伊朗及盟军力量薄弱，核谈判停滞，国际原子能机构昨天刚刚谴责伊朗。
这是一场所谓的“预防性”行动，而非先发制人”。
BY 加美财经causmoney
Launched in 2013, Telegram allows users to broadcast messages to a following via “channels”, or create public and private groups that are simple for others to access. Users can also send and receive large data files, including text and zip files, directly via the app.The platform said it has more than 500m active users, and topped 1bn downloads in August, according to data from SensorTower.
The messaging service and social-media platform owes creditors roughly $700 million by the end of April, according to people briefed on the company’s plans and loan documents viewed by The Wall Street Journal. At the same time, Telegram Group Inc. must cover rising equipment and bandwidth expenses because of its rapid growth, despite going years without attempting to generate revenue.
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