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刚才连线听了 Manus team 早晨的小型朋友沟通会,几点 takeaway:

1. 做产品实现了 SOTA,打榜超越 OpenAI DeepResearch 的那一晚, @PeakJi
@hidecloud 泪洒办公室;

2. 做垂直领域的 AI Agent “可能有点不靠谱”,Manus 打败了 YC W25 几乎 3/4 的 Agent startups

3. 团队做 Manus 过程中,最关键的一个信念:「Less Structure, More Intelligence」

5. AI Agent 产品的指标不应该是 DAU,而是:AHPU - Agentic Hours Per User

6. 从 Manus 开始,AI Agent 相比于 Chatbot,对 token 的消耗是指数级的翻越,今年的推理需求会 100-1000 倍的上涨。利好 NVDIA 和云厂商。

7. 目前 Manus 单任务成本 2 USD,是远低于业内平均的水平,但仍有继续优化的弹性。

8. 最后一个(不是今天分享会上提到的)小彩蛋,在给 Manus 起名字时,我也参与了一丢丢脑爆和讨论,一度很上头「dodo.ai」这个名字(域名注册 get),slogan 就叫做「Just DODO it」,会非常有记忆点。但最后选择「Manus」,它是拉丁语中「手」的意思。

9. 从 2025 年开始,AI 要卷的不再是「思考」能力,而是「行动」能力,这也是「十字路口」2025 开年第一期播客,和 @yusen(同样是 Manus 投资人)对谈的标题:《2025 开年对谈: AI 关键之年,Agent 开启元年》

————
看到 Manus 掀起这样的热浪,我从昨晚到现在都非常兴奋,this is the best age.

也想起昨天「暗涌」文章末尾的这句话:等到 2035 年,回看这十年发生什么,我赌 AI 跟机器人会到处都是,新一代的创业者还会打造更多大疆和 DeepSeek。那时候,我们一定会清醒自己经历了以最好的 vintage。



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刚才连线听了 Manus team 早晨的小型朋友沟通会,几点 takeaway:

1. 做产品实现了 SOTA,打榜超越 OpenAI DeepResearch 的那一晚, @PeakJi
@hidecloud 泪洒办公室;

2. 做垂直领域的 AI Agent “可能有点不靠谱”,Manus 打败了 YC W25 几乎 3/4 的 Agent startups

3. 团队做 Manus 过程中,最关键的一个信念:「Less Structure, More Intelligence」

5. AI Agent 产品的指标不应该是 DAU,而是:AHPU - Agentic Hours Per User

6. 从 Manus 开始,AI Agent 相比于 Chatbot,对 token 的消耗是指数级的翻越,今年的推理需求会 100-1000 倍的上涨。利好 NVDIA 和云厂商。

7. 目前 Manus 单任务成本 2 USD,是远低于业内平均的水平,但仍有继续优化的弹性。

8. 最后一个(不是今天分享会上提到的)小彩蛋,在给 Manus 起名字时,我也参与了一丢丢脑爆和讨论,一度很上头「dodo.ai」这个名字(域名注册 get),slogan 就叫做「Just DODO it」,会非常有记忆点。但最后选择「Manus」,它是拉丁语中「手」的意思。

9. 从 2025 年开始,AI 要卷的不再是「思考」能力,而是「行动」能力,这也是「十字路口」2025 开年第一期播客,和 @yusen(同样是 Manus 投资人)对谈的标题:《2025 开年对谈: AI 关键之年,Agent 开启元年》

————
看到 Manus 掀起这样的热浪,我从昨晚到现在都非常兴奋,this is the best age.

也想起昨天「暗涌」文章末尾的这句话:等到 2035 年,回看这十年发生什么,我赌 AI 跟机器人会到处都是,新一代的创业者还会打造更多大疆和 DeepSeek。那时候,我们一定会清醒自己经历了以最好的 vintage。

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