说起来很神奇，最近发现有些投资人，还在用移动互联网时代的数据指标来找项目。找了一圈，发现根本找不到一个留存好的项目。于是 AI 行业都三年了，他们都还没出手过一个 AI 项目。为什么以前的经验是错的？今天看书刚好得到一些答案。形式逻辑和非形式逻辑，以及概率论，事实上都是面向过去的。一厢情愿地希望用基于过去的数据在当下分析出来的结论去指导未来决策。而贝叶斯定律不一样，它的应用是面向未来的。

AI探索指南

说起来很神奇，最近发现有些投资人，还在用移动互联网时代的数据指标来找项目。
找了一圈，发现根本找不到一个留存好的项目。
于是 AI 行业都三年了，他们都还没出手过一个 AI 项目。

为什么以前的经验是错的？
今天看书刚好得到一些答案。

形式逻辑和非形式逻辑，以及概率论，事实上都是面向过去的。
一厢情愿地希望用基于过去的数据在当下分析出来的结论去指导未来决策。

而贝叶斯定律不一样，它的应用是面向未来的。

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Create: 2025-06-29
Last Update: 2025-07-05 07:54:27

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