Trading Crypto Guide ™
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Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BITCOIN DAILY TF UPDATE : #BITCOIN on Daily TF, dropped hard as per the analysis, we're giving that call ahead of the time, so you can have better opportunities to buy in dip. Now, price had a liq. grab and failed to the support its fine, as it need to take…
Trading Crypto Guide ™
Here's the Analysis of #MTL : #MTL is been kept on drawing its lower low and now on a small bear flag formation, which can give a bearish break and push it further low. Major support is at $0.60 - $0.64, which could be targets for shorts.
#MTL gave a shallow closing of the bear flag and dropped around 7.3% in favor. Still price have some room to move all the way down, targeting towards the major support zone.
With long-term holders selling and lacking strong upside catalysts above $111.8k, correction probability builds. The Spent Supply Distribution (SSD) Quantiles framework helps identify support levels by analyzing the cost basis of spent coins across 100 percentiles.
Key levels include the 0.95 quantile (top 5% of spent supply), 0.85 quantile (top 15%), and 0.75 quantile (top 25%). Historically, absolute euphoria occurs above the 0.95 quantile, sideways bull phases between 0.85-0.95, and bearish periods below 0.75.
Currently, the 0.95 quantile at ~$103.7k provides first support. If selling persists, the 0.85 quantile at $95.6k offers structural support, or if breached, confirms broader risk reset.
Key levels include the 0.95 quantile (top 5% of spent supply), 0.85 quantile (top 15%), and 0.75 quantile (top 25%). Historically, absolute euphoria occurs above the 0.95 quantile, sideways bull phases between 0.85-0.95, and bearish periods below 0.75.
Currently, the 0.95 quantile at ~$103.7k provides first support. If selling persists, the 0.85 quantile at $95.6k offers structural support, or if breached, confirms broader risk reset.
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Here's the Analysis of #KNC :
#KNC stuck up inside the sideways market between the major support zone and major resistance zone of $0.29 - $0.30 and $0.39 - $0.40 respectively. Price forming head and shoulder and inverse head and shoulder inside it. Bearish break can happen and trade can be taken along the breakout.
#KNC stuck up inside the sideways market between the major support zone and major resistance zone of $0.29 - $0.30 and $0.39 - $0.40 respectively. Price forming head and shoulder and inverse head and shoulder inside it. Bearish break can happen and trade can be taken along the breakout.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE : #BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, gave a sustainable candle close but this week we saw a drop all the way lower towards $100,000 area and too stops out from the market. Now its again trying to close over the resistance now. A close above…
#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE :
#BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, had a weekly closing with a good rejection candle and this week also, price just moved up and retraced all the way down and now having a rejection candle stick. The another rejection candle means, buyer is bit stronger than seller and can over it soon. Expecting bullish bias for next week not strongly but it can.
#BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, had a weekly closing with a good rejection candle and this week also, price just moved up and retraced all the way down and now having a rejection candle stick. The another rejection candle means, buyer is bit stronger than seller and can over it soon. Expecting bullish bias for next week not strongly but it can.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#DXY UPDATE : #DXY dropped made a lower low with an wick but on Friday it gained strength and again tapped into the Major level. Next week we might see a drop towards the next major support zone around 97.46% - 97.81%.
Here's a condensed version:
With substantial Bitcoin supply turnover during two ATH pushes over six months, tracking recent investor behavior becomes crucial. The Short-Term Holder (STH) Cost Basis captures the average acquisition price for coins held under 155 days, currently at $97.1k.
Standard deviation bands provide statistical context: the +1σ band at $114.8k signals overbought/breakout conditions, while the -1σ band at $83.2k marks elevated downside risk. These three levels ($114.8k, $97.1k, $83.2k) define short-term sentiment boundaries, with breaks above or below likely shaping the next market direction.
With substantial Bitcoin supply turnover during two ATH pushes over six months, tracking recent investor behavior becomes crucial. The Short-Term Holder (STH) Cost Basis captures the average acquisition price for coins held under 155 days, currently at $97.1k.
Standard deviation bands provide statistical context: the +1σ band at $114.8k signals overbought/breakout conditions, while the -1σ band at $83.2k marks elevated downside risk. These three levels ($114.8k, $97.1k, $83.2k) define short-term sentiment boundaries, with breaks above or below likely shaping the next market direction.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
Choose a Coin For Analysis
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BITCOIN WEEKLY TF UPDATE : #BITCOIN on WEEKLY TF, had a weekly closing with a good rejection candle and this week also, price just moved up and retraced all the way down and now having a rejection candle stick. The another rejection candle means, buyer is…
#BTC closed the weekly candle indecisive, with wicks a huge wick on body sides, no to minor body. Its a very indecisive and currently, moving higher trying to flip the resistance, we need to see a Daily candle closing healthy either side.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#US30 UPDATE : #US30 still maintained the consolidation and price nearly go into the 43,000 area which was a resistance. We can expect some higher moves to come along so buy the retest with clear confirmation and Money Management.
As Bitcoin retreats from $111.8k, selling pressure comes mainly from intra-cycle seasoned holders realizing substantial gains. The 7-day SMA of daily profit realization (excluding intra-entity flows) peaked at $1.47B per day last week, highlighting intense capital rotation.
This marks the fifth wave this cycle where daily profit-taking exceeded $1B—events that often coincide with local tops or slowdowns if incoming demand can't absorb the selling scale. This tests the market's resilience against elevated selling pressure.
This marks the fifth wave this cycle where daily profit-taking exceeded $1B—events that often coincide with local tops or slowdowns if incoming demand can't absorb the selling scale. This tests the market's resilience against elevated selling pressure.
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Here's the Analysis of #FORTH :
#FORTH is been on a very major support zone of $$2.17 - $2.44 and forming a triangle pattern over it. This seems be a good area of interest for buys and sells, but need to wait for the price to breakout either side, to take the calls. Use H4 close or Daily close as strong confirmation.
#FORTH is been on a very major support zone of $$2.17 - $2.44 and forming a triangle pattern over it. This seems be a good area of interest for buys and sells, but need to wait for the price to breakout either side, to take the calls. Use H4 close or Daily close as strong confirmation.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#BTC closed the weekly candle indecisive, with wicks a huge wick on body sides, no to minor body. Its a very indecisive and currently, moving higher trying to flip the resistance, we need to see a Daily candle closing healthy either side.
#BTC gave a flip of the resistance in H4 TF but in Daily TF its a rejection. Overall, in HTF price moving sideways alot and forming small pattern which ended up being invalidated. War tensions also going on, so need to wait for the further price action to develop.
Trading Crypto Guide ™
#GOLD UPDATE : #GOLD moved very less this week and we can say its full sideways week. Price now retracing back to the pattern as support or might go to the actual support around $3239.