I will be going live early tonight, shortly after 8pm CT

My preliminary analysis based on the events of the last 48 hours are that despite the US strikes, muted Iranian response, and dubious announcement of a ceasefire— the fundamental strategic situation between Israel, Iran, and the US has not changed.

Israel continues to seek regime change. Iran's nuclear program has apparently not been destroyed. And there is little hope that the United States can resume diplomacy with Iran.

Iran's retaliation and their apparent decision not to withdraw from the NPT or close the Strait of Hormuz is de-escalatory. Trump has clearly preferred a diplomatic resolution throughout the 60-day timetable and the "12-day war."

Israel cannot survive a sustained conflict of this nature with Iran. Which means they will have to escalate their tactics or sue for a temporary ceasefire.

Earlier today, the Washington Post reported that IRGC commanders received a 12-hour ultimatum from Mossad to oppose the Iranian regime or have their families killed. Israel is carrying out the most intense strikes since the war started as we speak, including assassinations.

Is this one last blow before a short reprieve? Or a last-minute sucker punch to provoke Iran into reneging on the ceasefire, assuming there was such an agreement.

Israel's attack on Iran galvanized the public against the West and rallied them to the regime. Are the IRGC assassinations and ceasefire a gambit to leave room for an "organic uprising" to breathe?

There are still conflicting reports on the ceasefire. And why would Iran trust the US and Israel after they broke similar agreements with Hamas and Hezbollah and after the surprise attacks by Israel and the US? The fog of war remains...

Much to consider, but the fact remains that the forces that drove these hostilities remain unchanged, and have probably intensified.

As I said at the beginning of the war, the key to understanding these developments is to keep in mind the underlying strategic objectives of the players involved, rather than solely reading the headlines or speculating about the personal motivations of Trump.

America First is LIVE! Tonight we are discussing the US attack on Iran and the new ceasefire

Rumble.com/Nicholas J Fuentes/com.nickjfuentes

🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- A single Iranian ballistic missile was launched and was successfully intercepted.

lol

NOW - Trump says Israel and Iran "don’t know what the f*ck they're doing."

@disclosetv

Aura

🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡- A squadron of Israeli jets just passed over Zanjan, northern Iran.

This is awesome

Goes without saying but obviously Israel knows exactly what they’re doing.

It seems like Trump is the one who doesn’t know what he’s doing. Begging Iran to make a deal, begging Israel to leave Iran alone. Getting ignored by both.

Like I said from the start, I believe Trump wants peace but Israel is driving him and America into the war.

Live on InfoWars with Alex Jones
https://x.com/Nicholas J Fuentes/com.nickjfuentes/status/1937579004506308856?s=46

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡️- "The strikes on Iran did not destroy the nuclear sites. The core components of Iran’s nuclear program remain intact, and the program is expected to be delayed by only a few months." - CNN, quoting unnamed US intelligence sources.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡️- “US officials believe Iran also maintains secret nuclear facilities that were not targeted in the strike and remain operational, according to two sources familiar with the matter.” - CNN.

America First is LIVE! Tonight we are discussing Trump’s fury at Israel and the CNN report on Iran’s nuclear program

Rumble.com/Nicholas J Fuentes/com.nickjfuentes

🇺🇸🇮🇷 - US President Trump:

"We will not allow the Iranians to enrich any more uranium.

If Iran rebuilds its uranium enrichment facilities, the US will attack again".

@thewarreporterr

Trump and his surrogates are trying to declare victory over Iran to pivot away from the Middle East as quickly and cleanly as possible, but this problem isn’t going away.

Preliminary reports show that not only were Esfahan and Fordow not destroyed, but the stockpiles of uranium were moved to a secure location and that Iran maintains undeclared, smaller enrichment facilities.

Iran today voted to suspend cooperation with the IAEA, and its Foreign Minister Aragchi continues to make oblique references to Iran’s “right to enrich” under the NPT regime.

Although Iran and the US have both signaled willingness to return to the table— the US and E3 demand total dismantlement under the pain of snapback sanctions due by October, while Iran remains totally defiant and will surely reconstitute their conventional and nuclear capabilities.

Why would Iran suspend its enrichment now after its worst fears were realized? The US can’t restrain Israel, Iran’s conventional capabilities are no match for Israel’s, and Israel continues to seek regime change.

What’s more— Iran will only accept restrictions on its nuclear activity under the condition of immediate sanctions relief. This involves the unfreezing of Iranian assets and resumption of foreign investment, which Iran will use to restore its defense capabilities.

Similar relief granted by Obama and Biden were portrayed by Israel as a windfall for Iran’s terrorist proxies, it would be perceived the same way.

Just as before, I don’t see an easy way out of this problem for Trump.

Now even Israeli sources are admitting it was a total failure

NOW - Trump says he's not interested in restarting negotiations with Iran, "I don't think it's necessary."

@disclosetv