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๐๐๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ: ๐๐ฆ๐ฆ ๐๐ช-๐๐ถ๐ฏ
๐๐๐ต๐ข๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ: ๐๐ (์์ด์ )
๐๐๐ข๐ต๐ฆ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ฃ๐ช๐ณ๐ต๐ฉ: 16/05/1993
๐๐๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต: 1.62๐ฎ
๐๐๐ฆ๐ช๐จ๐ฉ๐ต: 47๐ฌ๐จ
๐๐๐ฐ๐ญ๐ฐ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ต: 18/09/2009
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Spiking bond yields driving sharp losses in tech stocks
A spike in interest rates since the start of the year has accelerated a rotation out of high-growth technology stocks and into value stocks poised to benefit from a reopening of the economy. The Nasdaq has fallen more than 10% over the past month as the Dow has soared to record highs, with a spike in the 10-year US Treasury yield acting as the main catalyst. It recently surged to a cycle high of more than 1.60% after starting the year below 1%. But according to Jim Paulsen, the Leuthold Group's chief investment strategist, rising interest rates do not represent a long-term threat to the stock market. Paulsen expects the 10-year yield to cross 2% by the end of the year. A spike in interest rates and its impact on the stock market depends on the economic backdrop, according to Paulsen. Rising interest rates amid a strengthening economy "may prove no challenge at all for stocks," Paulsen said.
That growth environment will include rising inflation and interest rates. Those upward shifts naturally accompany healthy growth periods as the demand for resources, products and services rise. Importantly, the Federal Reserve has laid out the rationale for not interfering with that natural growth transition.It's not exactly a fad, but there is a widespread willingness to pay up for a growth story. Classic fundamental analysis takes a back seat. Even negative earnings are ignored. In fact, positive earnings seem to be a limiting measure, producing the question, "Is that all you've got?" The preference is a vision of untold riches when the exciting story plays out as expected.
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