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经济学人:特朗普重税新政可让中国“再次伟大”

面对高达65%的关税总额,中国出口受创,转移生产链至越南等国的策略也因全球性关税壁垒而难以奏效。但中国经济正显现韧性:除房地产逐渐复苏、地方政府获批发行10.4万亿元人民币新债外,人工智能和低空经济等产业迅速崛起,部分抵消国内消费疲软和结构性困境。2025年以来,中国股市上涨15%,反映市场对中国复苏前景的看好。

地缘政治上,美国对华政策摇摆不定,特朗普虽对华强硬,却派盟友访华探路协商。与此同时,美国对盟友的疏远和对气候议题的冷淡,让中国有机会在全球南方扩大影响力。中国自2012年起即倡导自主可控,面对美方政策的不确定性,中国正积极谋求在技术、外交和环境议题上的新角色。

尽管风险依旧,尤其是贸易战可能引发全球衰退,但在特朗普制造的混乱中,中国正试图把握由乱局中衍生的战略机遇。

The Economist

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经济学人:特朗普重税新政可让中国“再次伟大”

面对高达65%的关税总额,中国出口受创,转移生产链至越南等国的策略也因全球性关税壁垒而难以奏效。但中国经济正显现韧性:除房地产逐渐复苏、地方政府获批发行10.4万亿元人民币新债外,人工智能和低空经济等产业迅速崛起,部分抵消国内消费疲软和结构性困境。2025年以来,中国股市上涨15%,反映市场对中国复苏前景的看好。

地缘政治上,美国对华政策摇摆不定,特朗普虽对华强硬,却派盟友访华探路协商。与此同时,美国对盟友的疏远和对气候议题的冷淡,让中国有机会在全球南方扩大影响力。中国自2012年起即倡导自主可控,面对美方政策的不确定性,中国正积极谋求在技术、外交和环境议题上的新角色。

尽管风险依旧,尤其是贸易战可能引发全球衰退,但在特朗普制造的混乱中,中国正试图把握由乱局中衍生的战略机遇。

The Economist

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Start with a fresh view of investing strategy. The combination of risks and fads this quarter looks to be topping. That means the future is ready to move in.Likely, there will not be a wholesale shift. Company actions will aim to benefit from economic growth, inflationary pressures and a return of market-determined interest rates. In turn, all of that should drive the stock market and investment returns higher.

Telegram hopes to raise $1bn with a convertible bond private placement

The super secure UAE-based Telegram messenger service, developed by Russian-born software icon Pavel Durov, is looking to raise $1bn through a bond placement to a limited number of investors from Russia, Europe, Asia and the Middle East, the Kommersant daily reported citing unnamed sources on February 18, 2021.The issue reportedly comprises exchange bonds that could be converted into equity in the messaging service that is currently 100% owned by Durov and his brother Nikolai.Kommersant reports that the price of the conversion would be at a 10% discount to a potential IPO should it happen within five years.The minimum bond placement is said to be set at $50mn, but could be lowered to $10mn. Five-year bonds could carry an annual coupon of 7-8%.

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