💵Dollar’s Comeback: Just a Bounce — or a Bigger Power Move?

Is this just a dead-cat bounce or the start of something stronger? ⚰️🐱

The US dollar is flexing again — climbing off recent lows as inflation fears creep back and global markets turn cautious.

It’s like a compressed spring 🌀 — ready to snap back up... or unravel completely.

📉Rate cut speculation could deflate the dollar
🛡Global uncertainty could send it soaring

Pro News Video: USD in Trouble? Trump Targets Asia as Stocks Soar & Gold Crashes!

The dollar dives, stocks surge, and gold tanks — what’s going on? Rumours are abundant about Trump demanding that Asia strengthen their currencies, while Europe braces for a trade war backlash. The S&P 500 hits new highs, but can the rally last? And is Bitcoin losing its shine to Ethereum? Are you ready to jump into this week’s top financial moves and market drama?



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Bears have stopped the growth in Crypto

On Monday, the cryptocurrency market declined more than 4% compared to the previous week. The bears successfully neutralised several attempts to cross the $3.36 trillion mark, which weakened the participants' sentiment and led to the return of capitalisation to the $3.24 trillion level. The area down to $3 trillion could be an easy target for the bears, as the market may need a tactical pause to consolidate its strength.

The Cryptocurrency Market Sentiment Index stabilised over the weekend at 74, close to extreme greed territory and the highest values since late January. These readings leave room for growth for both the sentiment index and prices.

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🇺🇸 Trading dynamics at the stock market pre-market

📉 Negative dynamics are observed on the US stock market pre-market.

In the Electronic Technology sector, shares of NVIDIA (NVDA) are down 2.45%, while shares of Apple (AAPL) are losing 1.51%.

In the Financials sector, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is down 0.77% and Bank of America (BAC) is losing 1.39%.

In the Healthcare sector, shares of Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) are up 0.23% while shares of Eli Lilly (LLY) are down 0.52%.

Despite the prevalence of declines in large-company stocks, market sentiment is negative. Such volatility may increase demand for the dollar as a defensive asset, putting pressure on other currencies.

⚠️ Switzerland — SNB Chairman Martin Schlegel Speaks at 16:30 GMT

Natural Gas Wave Analysis – 19 May 2025

Natural Gas: ⬇️ Sell

- Natural Gas broke support zone

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Adobe Wave Analysis – 19 May 2025

- Adobe broke resistance area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 440.00

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Merck Wave Analysis – 19 May 2025

- Merck reversed from support area

- Likely to rise to resistance level 80.00

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🗓 Economic Calendar at 2025/05/20 (GMT)

01:00 🇨🇳 Loan Prime Rate — Exp: 3.00% | 3.50% Actual: 3.00% | 3.50%

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Interest Rate Decision — Exp: 3.85% Actual: 3.85%

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Rate Statement

04:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Monetary Policy Statement

05:30 🇦🇺 ⚡️ RBA Media Conference

08:00 🇬🇧 MPC Member Huw Pill Speaks

12:30 🇨🇦 ⚡️ Consumer Price Index — Exp: -0.1% | 1.6% Actual: -0.1% | 1.7%

12:30 🇨🇦 Core CPI — Exp: 0.2% Actual: 0.5% | 2.5%

12:30 🇨🇦 Common Core CPI — Exp: 2.4% Actual: 2.5%

12:30 🇨🇦 Median Core CPI — Exp: 2.9% Actual: 3.2%

12:30 🇨🇦 Trimmed Core CPI — Exp: 2.9% Actual: 3.1%

22:45 🇳🇿 Trade Balance — Exp: 500M

23:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Beth M. Hammack Speaks

23:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Mary Daly Speaks


[Updated in real time]

DAX Wave Analysis – 19 May 2025

- DAX reversed from the support level 23320.00

- Likely to rise to resistance level 24500.00

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⚠️ Australia — RBA Interest Rate Decision at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 4.10%

🕒 Exp: 3.85%

🎯 Fact.: 3.85%

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⚠️ Australia — RBA Media Conference at 05:30 GMT

Rating downgrade didn’t spook US markets, but the fundamental picture is deteriorating

US indices reacted swiftly to Moody's top US credit rating downgrade. On previous occasions of similar decisions (in August 2011 by S&P Global and in August 2023 by Fitch), the markets showed a multi-day decline of about 10% and continued the downtrend over the following two to three months. It should be noted that additional negative factors contributed to the markets' decline at that time.

This time, the situation turned out to be different: the comments of the US authorities' representatives about the lateness of the decision contributed to the market recovery. Investors promptly bought back the 1.5% drawdown, which allowed the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices to renew their two- and three-month highs.

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⚠️ Canada — Consumer Price Index at 03:00 GMT

✔️ Prev: 0.3% | 2.3%

🕒 Exp: -0.1% | 1.6%

🎯 Fact.: -0.1% | 1.7% 📈

🇺🇸 Trading dynamics at the stock market pre-market

📉 Negative dynamics are observed at the US stock market pre-market.

In the Financials sector, Mastercard (MA) is up +0.02%, while Citigroup (C) is down -0.22%.

In the Electronic Technology sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is down -0.57%, while Broadcom (AVGO) is losing -0.93%.

In the Healthcare sector, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) is up +0.13%, while AbbVie (ABBV) is down -0.06%.

The current dynamics may increase interest in the dollar as a stable asset, putting pressure on riskier currencies.

Neither the US rating nor Coinbase’s problems hurt Bitcoin

Moody's US credit rating downgrade spooked Bitcoin, but not for long. According to HSBC, the recent trade truce between Washington and Beijing changed the game. It has permanently raised global risk appetite, allowing digital assets to flourish. Could the loss of the States' latest top rating stop the BTCUSD bulls? As it turns out, no.

Bitcoin is being driven upwards by a crowd of retail investors, who are also driving the US stock market. Small players don't care that the US economy is slowing down, and the Fed is not going to cut rates. Traders are buying the S&P 500 and digital assets simply because they are rising. At the same time, Morgan Stanley's recommendation to buy the dips in stock indices is adding fuel to the fire of the rally in stocks and BTC.

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DAX40 and FTSE100 outperform the S&P500, rejecting economists’ pessimism

Tariff wars have increased the legitimacy of stimulus measures in Europe and Asia. Since the start of the year, the ECB and Bank of England have been aggressively cutting rates against the Fed's continued rate hikes. The People's Bank of China made a small, 0.1 percentage point cut on Tuesday morning. Earlier this year, Germany announced an $800 billion package of support for the economy, abandoning a tight budget framework, contrasting with the mood for budget deficit reduction in the United States.

Germany's DAX40 hit all-time highs on Monday. The German market is feeling the envy of its peers, trading in the 24000 area, nearly 28% above the early April lows. The FTSE100 is less than 2% off its peaks set in early March. This has been achieved, contrary to the more than 8% strengthening of the pound and euro against the dollar since the start of the year and is indicative of the strength of Europe's markets against the US. This is a higher rate of growth in the case of the DAX and a stronger recovery in the case of the FTSE.

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